Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.057884 0.065707 0.073740 0.082575 0.091988 0.101689 0.112414
2025-07-20 0.042910 0.054118 0.066278 0.080301 0.095889 0.112560 0.131615
2025-07-27 0.036496 0.050064 0.065418 0.083740 0.104702 0.127663 0.154454
2025-08-03 0.030443 0.045322 0.062842 0.084396 0.109670 0.137904 0.171396
2025-08-10 0.025754 0.041495 0.060731 0.085048 0.114166 0.147233 0.186987
2025-08-17 0.021405 0.037500 0.057931 0.084452 0.116848 0.154194 0.199635
2025-08-24 0.016639 0.032310 0.053120 0.080952 0.115690 0.156378 0.206506
2025-08-31 0.013113 0.028338 0.049487 0.078580 0.115611 0.159603 0.214390
2025-09-07 0.010940 0.026044 0.047861 0.078580 0.118301 0.166010 0.225926
2025-09-14 0.009492 0.024671 0.047359 0.079935 0.122600 0.174303 0.239664
2025-09-21 0.008912 0.024647 0.048724 0.083746 0.130000 0.186373 0.257937
2025-09-28 0.007494 0.022961 0.047536 0.084004 0.132784 0.192743 0.269336
2025-10-05 0.007569 0.024143 0.050855 0.090791 0.144455 0.210621 0.295331
2025-10-12 0.005570 0.021081 0.047583 0.088378 0.144177 0.213780 0.303641
2025-10-19 0.005035 0.020837 0.048630 0.092008 0.151829 0.226843 0.324055
2025-10-26 0.004061 0.019422 0.047680 0.092700 0.155532 0.234924 0.338366
2025-11-02 0.003238 0.018120 0.046788 0.093388 0.159170 0.242890 0.352520
2025-11-09 0.002382 0.016433 0.045080 0.092760 0.160951 0.248441 0.363655
2025-11-16 0.001399 0.013822 0.041468 0.089064 0.158382 0.248305 0.367620
2025-11-23 0.000784 0.011851 0.038756 0.086557 0.157316 0.250003 0.373795
2025-11-30 0.000487 0.010819 0.037704 0.086558 0.159696 0.256138 0.385519
2025-12-07 0.000329 0.010281 0.037573 0.087989 0.164080 0.264888 0.400548
2025-12-14 0.000296 0.010516 0.039040 0.092014 0.172174 0.278533 0.421806